• For corporates with available financial statement data (publicly available)
• Applied COVID lockdown scenarios and associated shocks to P&L items
• Enabled forecasting of financial statements, to understand impact on debt affordability and liquidity

Peers are looking to adapt or develop similar tools now to help understand the impact of the Tariff war

• Impact of proposed US tariffs
• Impact of potential supply chain reorganisation
• Impact of interest rates, inflation, FX, energy prices etc
• At the name level, to complement top-down stress-testing

Oliver Wyman has developed a proprietary supply chain analytics tool, Sentrisk, which enables us to measure potential tariff costs under various scenarios based on actual supply chains at the client level – and feed in to SCALE, and supports a range of use cases

• Understand potential portfolio level credit impacts of different scenarios
• Identify key “at-risk” clients and bespoke “early warning” criteria to prompt action
• Portfolio segmentation to understand potential risks and support capacity planning for collections & recoveries
• Develop tailored client engagement plans
• Analysis to support calibration of top-down stress-testing and IFRS models
• Support response to broader stakeholder requests e.g. Board, Regulators, Treasury

Get in touch to hear our latest thinking